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Remember the old Saturday Night Live skit (Jane, you ignorant ....). Well, here is a back and forth on the current pattern. Point: It's ...

Will have a full update later. Bottom line: We are wasting a bunch of good early season cold air. Dec. 4-5 storm has fizzled. Only prospect ...

If you like cold weather with a chance at an early season snow, you'll love the rest of this month and quite possibly well into December...

Well, as we barrel toward a late Thanksgiving and then December, with each day's passing our chances of seeing some winter weather incre...

Well, the sounds of gas blowers, the approach of high school football playoffs and (mercifully) the end of an election means one thing for m...

Clary lost Rutherford County by 1,299 votes. She is ahead in Cleveland county by 2,193 votes for an 894-vote margin with only one precinct y...

Clary lost Rutherford County to Keith Melton by more than 1,000 votes and has lost the early/absentee vote to Melton by another 1,000-plus v...

Fox News has called Ohio for Obama which means there is no realistic path to victory for McCain -- it's just a matter of "how much...

The feeling going in was that this would be a big night for Democrats and nothing has happened thus far to change that. Pennsylvania has gon...

So far, it has the most precincts reporting percentage-wise -- 71%. In 2004, Bush won the county by a whisker 52-48 (a total of 175 votes)....

Lake County is an excellent example of the apparent trend in this election. In 2004, George Bush won Lake County, in central Florida, with 7...

Bush won Culpeper County 65-35. With 85 percent of precincts reporting, McCain leads 55-44.

N.C. will be close and is tilting toward an Obama win. Exit polls show McCain winning the male vote 53-46, but losing females 56-43.

Remember, these are REAL numbers, not exit poll numbers. Bush carried Clinton County 72-28 in 2004, a 5,000-vote margin. With all precincts ...

.... is going to be a huge night for Obama. The details are out in Indiana -- exit polls show Obama won females by 11 POINTS!!!! He tied wit...

.. in ALL of Indiana, Ky. and also Georgia. The networks will free up the full exit poll data from those states which will tell us alot.

Looking at two counties in Indiana. Again go here for our interactive national map. In Indiana, the county in the far northeast corner is S...

There are apparently two batches of exit polls floating around the Internet. One shows a very tight race. The other shows an Obama blowout (...

If you check out The Star's interactive national elections results page here , you can zoom in on Kentucky, were returns are already com...

Drudge now saying exit polls show Obama by 15 points in Pennsylvania, surely an indicator of a blowout win. Still standing by ....

Not sure of the reliability of Gawker.com (although it is considered to be, I believe, a liberal site) but here is its leaked Exit poll inf...

The Star's Alan Ford reports that the "counter" at Shelby No. 2 precinct was at 529 at 2:30 p.m.. Combined with the 1,542 from...

According to this L.A. Times story , an effort is being made to make sure exit poll data doesn't leak until at least 5 p.m. EST. After t...

I've been recruited by the newsroom to bring you an election blog. This will start Tuesday when the first exit polls are released in the...

Hurricane Ike is a monster. Don't let the "category" or top wind speeds fool you. Even though Ike is "only" a stron...

After a long blogging absence, the weather brings me back. We have a very unusual pattern developing over the next 36 hours -- the weather m...

I was incredibly honored to be asked to speak to the graduating class of North Shelby School -- an institution which has my highest respect....

Don't you hate it when the facts get in the way of something that is supposedly no longer up for discussion. Al Gore wants to call the q...

I stumbled across this story on ESPN.com. I think you'll find it incredibly uplifting.

If this scientist's theory is right, Al Gore could very well go down as the biggest joke in American history. Further, the liberal ...

This piece from the Atlantic magazine is lengthy, but very compelling. The writers followed Bill Cosby around for an extended time and has u...

OK, now that I'm emerging from my "another-winter-without-decent-snow" funk, it's time to start blogging again on non-mete...

OK, this is it for the winter, so we're going to milk it for all it's worth. The 18z run of the GFS is out .. What do you think of t...

UPDATE at 3:02 p.m.: SEE BOTTOM OF POST FOR NEW INFORMATION. ----------- I can't believe I'm writing this, but our best threat fo...

The big upper low we talked about has shifted west -- according to the models. That puts us on the warm side of the storm which means no sno...

As you probably know by now, the mountains got hammered with a nice snow today. A few stray flurries and snow showers even made it down to o...

Models quickly and strongly backed off the idea of any sort of ice situation Sunday -- now we should just look for a chilly rain. In the wak...

.....it would be ice if we get it. An interesting setup being depicted by the last two runs of the GFS model -- this is what is a called a ...

For snowlovers, in a word: Yuck! It's not a particularly warm pattern, but all the storms projected by models are "cutters" --...

Not sure what the hype is regarding potential storms next week -- models are not impressive. There is some indication some light freezing ra...

Radar upstream of us is thinning out -- it will get below freezing shortly, so whatever falls will stick, but I don't see much falling -...

Concerned that the radar back over N. Ga. is thinning out -- hoping our precip doesn't poop out before the VERY tardy cold air arrives i...

OK, want to make a nice clean thread for observations -- use the comment tool to post conditions where you are. Most of N. Georgia now chang...

Frankly, my love for snow is being overcome with my fascination in this system. First, temps and dewpoints are CRASHING to our north and we...

Overnight, the National Weathe Service saw something they liked in the radar trends. Check out this snippet from their area forecast discuss...

It trended west -- not a lot, but by golly, by the looks of the maps it checks in back up to about .3-.4 inches of liquid. Where does that l...

The NAM has been our friend in the leadup this storm. It's the one that first latched on to the storm and it's the model that has k...

A few good signs. 1) The 18z NAM inched west. It now gives us .5 inches of precip again -- probably a 2-4 inch snow. 18z GFS out later this ...

It appears that our Winter Storm Watch will become a Winter Weather Advisory for the new forecast package. Expect snow accumulation forecast...

This storm is a mess. I wouldn't want to be a NWS forecaster right now. Take Atlanta -- the 12z NAM says: 8-12 inches. The 12z GFS say...

The model shift overnight continued to ease east -- that move is ushering in plenty of cold air, but taking precip with it. Instead of look...

Have you ever watched a basketball game and even though it's early in the second half, you can see that both teams are evenly matched an...

The 18z runs of the NAM and GFS look similar -- both gives us a moderate to heavy snow on Saturday. Here is the NAM at dawn. Precip just ...

Boy, what looked so promising a couple hours a go took a big hit this afternon. One after one, new models runs shifted the track of Saturday...

The 12z GFS reminds me so much of the maps in the days leading up to our big Feb. 2006 storm. As you can see, it shows us getting just under...

I'm not saying it's right, I'm only saying -- this is what the 12z run of the NAM shows starting Saturday morning. Check out the...

Well, after my last post at 1:45 a.m. I took one last walk outside and darned if it didn't change to sleet just as I headed back inside....

Couple things -- first off, when sleet and freezing rain begin to fall they will compact the snow that has fallen, so depending on when you ...

Finally (although actually right on schedule) it is snowing here in Shelby. Sounds like much of Cleveland County is getting snow. Next up --...

Just got a report of moderate to heavy snow in Gaffney -- I believe this is the band that will graduate us beyond flurries to some real snow...

It's almost like a wall at the N.C./S.C. state line -- have to keep reminding myself that this is just what the models forecasted -- ons...

Here is the NWS radar out of GSP. See the darker bands getting ready to hit Greenville? I think that's what "breaks though" ou...

If you check out this radar loop , you'll see the precip backfilling nicely in Alabama -- that's a long way for precip to go to clea...

Light flurries falling at my house in Shelby right now.

Not much new to report -- our wetbulb continues to sit at around freezing, so once precipitation starts falling through our very dry air, th...

1 inch on the ground in Dawsonville, Ga. and areas around Atlanta. Precip having a VERY hard time overcoming our dry atmosphere -- the low d...

Widespread reports of snow in Not-so-hotlanta. The final verdict on the 18Z Nam is a historic snowstorm of 6-12 inches. The 18z GFS is colde...

It's almost too late to look at models, mainly because they rarely change in this tight to the actual event. Don't tell that to the ...

It seems very clear that this storm is going to be stronger than many expected. I will be shocked if the NWS does not upgrade us to a Winte...

Here is a good link to follow precip moving our way. And here's another good link to follow temperature/dew point/wet bulb temperatures....

Sleet. I don't understand how to read the soundings and other date to determine the atmospheric profile that indicates freezing rain vs....

We are in "nowcasting" mode -- that is, the models become less relevant compared to actual observered conditions. With that in min...

6z NAM snowfall map for the Southeast. You'll note that the upper part of the county is in the 5-inch swath with 4 inches for the rest o...

The late trend is for a stronger storm. This started with 0z model runs and was strengthened with the 6z runs. The 6z NAM shows us getting 2...

Very brief because I'm very tired -- 0z GFS come in a tad colder but is still way short on precip when compared to the NAM -- about half...

Cleveland County is under a Winter Storm Watch as of about 30 minutes ago. The latest run of the NAM is a trend back toward a more significa...

This appears to be a minor, perhaps even marginal , event -- of course, when you've gone two years without ANY event, even minor events ...