Virtually every computer model now places Rita in the central Gulf of Mexico as a major category 3 or higher hurricane. The models have taken an ominous turn north in the past 24 hours. Here is the latest National Hurricane Center track. Of note, that track showed landfall in southern Texas yesterday -- look how far north it has moved.
Here is a spread of computer models, showing Rita's track.
It goes without saying that a further north/east shift in the models would be beyond alarming.