We are in "nowcasting" mode -- that is, the models become less relevant compared to actual observered conditions.
With that in mind, one thing to look for today is our high temperature.
The NWS has us reaching 47 degrees as a high.
My guess is, that will be vastly overstated -- if some cloud cover moves in, we'll be lucky to break 40.
And if we don't get to 40, that could have huge implications for the storm.
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When you write, "if it doesn't reach 40 degrees, that could have huge implications for the storm", are you saying the storm could be worse with a lot more frozen precipitation?
Yes. Or even if we got only to the low 40s.
Right now, 38 with cloud cover increasing.
so would that mean less snow?
No it would mean more snow or at least more winter precip (could be sleet or ice, too).
Thanks man, I've been following your weather updates for a few days now, haven't even watched the weather man on wbtv. Keep up the good work and thanks for taking the time to do this for the benefit of us all.
One thing not mentioned is the fact that when the high hits 45 or so and then the cloud cover rolls in, then those clouds help insulate the warmth already there. Making it harder to cool down. You also have to take into consideration how much moisture it takes to saturate the air when dew points are low, which happems to us quite often.
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